Wall Street Firms Are Hiring Traders to Exploit Prediction Market Inefficiencies

  • Placing direct bets on specific markets could cause issues for firms’ risk controls
  • Companies like DRW and Susquehanna have prediction markets trader job ads
  • Low liquidity compared to traditional financial markets has kept some companies out of the action
Wall Street sign
Big Wall Street firms are hiring traders to capitalize on prediction market arbitrage opportunities. [Image: Shutterstock.com]

Major Wall Street trading firms are turning their attention to prediction markets, some hiring specialist traders to find arbitrage opportunities in price differences for event-based contracts covering economics, politics, and sports. This is opposed to placing direct bets on markets, which could cause issues for their risk controls.

DRW is offering a base salary of up to $200,000

The Financial Times detailed several related job postings. DRW is offering a base salary of up to $200,000 for someone who can monitor and trade on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi in real time. A similar ad from Susquehanna outlines its need for someone who can find “inefficiencies” and “detect incorrect values” on these platforms.

Prediction markets have exploded in interest over the past two years. They’ve gone from a monthly trading volume of under $100m in early 2024 to $8bn by the end of 2025. Traders can now even access Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets on their Bloomberg Terminal.

One issue preventing some of the larger players on Wall Street from entering the space in a significant way is the relatively low liquidity compared to the multi-trillion-dollar markets available for traditional asset classes.

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